Here’s Your 2021-2022 Winter Forecast from the Experts


The experts at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have given their 2021-2022 winter forecast… Find out if it’s going to be colder or milder, wetter, or drier in your area this season.

Winter 2021-2022: It’s all about La Niña

According to the NOAA, the major factor affecting weather this winter is going to be the La Niña pattern. We had a break over the summer which brought some much-needed moisture to areas along the southern tier of the US. However, last week the NOAA declared that La Niña is back and should persist through the winter, the Washington Post reported.

During a typical wintertime La Niña pattern, the jet stream brings colder air over the north-central region of the US, wetter conditions in the Northwest and Ohio Valley, and drier and warmer conditions along the southern tier, as well as the Mid-South and mid-Atlantic.

Temperature Outlook

Northwest & Northern Rockies: Colder than average temperatures over Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, northern Wyoming, and the Dakotas.

From Central West to upper Midwest: Slightly above normal temperatures for Central California, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Nebraska, Missouri, Eastern Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan.

Southwest, mid-South, mid-Atlantic, Ohio Valley, Northeast: Warmer, milder conditions. Expect above-average temperatures.

South and Southeast: Expect significantly above-average temperatures for southeastern Texas, Louisiana, southern Mississippi and Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas.

Who will see a wetter winter?

Above normal precipitation: Washington, northern Idaho, Western Montana, Eastern Missouri, Illinois, Eastern Wisconsin, Indiana, northern Ohio, Michigan, extreme Western Pennsylvania, and New York.

Slightly above normal precipitation: Northern Oregon, southern Idaho, Western Wyoming, central Montana, northern Arkansas, Missouri, Eastern Iowa, central and western Wisconsin, Western Tennessee, Kentucky, southern Ohio, northern and western West Virginia, central and western Pennsylvania, most of New York (except Southern), Northwestern Vermont.

Who will see a drier winter?

Below normal precipitation: southern California, central and southern Arizona, central and southern New Mexico, western and southern Texas, Florida, southern Georgia.

Slightly below normal precipitation: central California, southern Nevada, northern Arizona, southern Utah, southern Colorado, northern New Mexico, northern central and eastern Texas, Louisiana, central and southern Mississippi, central and southern Alabama, central Georgia, the Carolinas.


This year, you can expect a stormy and cold winter over the northern tier of the US from the Pacific Northwest to the Great Lakes, somewhat wetter conditions for the three most Northwestern states and the Great Lakes states, with mild conditions elsewhere that will be relatively warm and dry, and drier along the southern corridor, and a bit warmer for the Gulf states and the southeastern corridor.